Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 8.482840 9.489855 10.630137 12.030291 13.721996 15.724877 1.831418e+01
2024-12-22 6.881910 8.155459 9.732812 11.880028 14.811319 18.812622 2.496526e+01
2024-12-29 6.176507 7.613369 9.508599 12.293807 16.482499 22.942849 3.465885e+01
2025-01-05 5.431883 6.861404 8.823652 11.856519 16.733362 24.962420 4.200524e+01
2025-01-12 4.845189 6.231180 8.190894 11.338766 16.675639 26.378156 4.900501e+01
2025-01-19 4.424670 5.779098 7.744248 11.010949 16.824690 28.175683 5.807781e+01
2025-01-26 4.150128 5.504374 7.520725 10.992209 17.494381 31.225508 7.303825e+01
2025-02-02 4.109818 5.566144 7.813191 11.878657 20.086217 39.665500 1.164308e+02
2025-02-09 3.999803 5.507633 7.901623 12.413673 22.127759 48.041656 1.811283e+02
2025-02-16 3.814373 5.312971 7.740398 12.451115 23.085844 54.045649 2.572184e+02
2025-02-23 3.709522 5.236577 7.768998 12.858630 25.042784 64.811015 4.482867e+02
2025-03-02 3.471783 4.926016 7.359519 12.317392 24.466433 66.057049 5.509047e+02
2025-03-09 3.289060 4.711167 7.131332 12.190530 25.158244 74.012259 9.738567e+02
2025-03-16 3.118949 4.508589 6.912574 12.067304 25.896363 83.633517 2.168399e+03
2025-03-23 3.035628 4.445122 6.940891 12.492894 28.438600 107.025144 2.807183e+04
2025-03-30 2.857458 4.204919 6.612327 12.045292 28.082315 112.964220 9.907025e+06
2025-04-06 2.686382 3.966700 6.268435 11.515420 27.307177 115.390100 NaN
2025-04-13 2.551693 3.784551 6.018982 11.180064 27.118648 122.665522 NaN
2025-04-20 2.462164 3.676720 5.905672 11.160896 28.068416 142.468208 NaN
2025-04-27 2.470927 3.744186 6.144999 12.067962 33.001059 226.977499 NaN
2025-05-04 2.441295 3.739442 6.237076 12.615795 36.921746 341.051007 NaN
2025-05-11 2.369392 3.651834 6.148149 12.654144 38.604093 439.580372 NaN
2025-05-18 2.332293 3.626873 6.189735 13.071619 42.496919 706.440400 NaN